The 78% Probability Trap: Why Prediction Markets Are Not Truth Machines
The ledger shows a 78% probability that Iran will attack Israel on July 22. T...
Directory
•
0xWoo
•
2026-07-24
Market Prices
BTC
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XRP Ledger
$1.09
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DOGE
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Event Calendar
202608
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
22
03
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Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
10
05
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Raises validator limit and account abstraction
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
28
03
unlock
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92 million ARB released
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•
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Market Cap
All →| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$64,025.2 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,858.09 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$73.91 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$564.6 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.09 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0694 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1620 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.25 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.8126 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.3 |
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0xde03...bed2
12m ago
Out
4,733 ETH
🔴
0x214b...2298
6h ago
Out
29,037 BNB
🔴
0xe344...20b1
30m ago
Out
822.05 BTC